Well, it’s all but official now: We have to survive another four years with Barack Obama as President of the United States. I say “all but” because the Electoral College (the body that officially elects the president) has not cast its ballots yet, and technically (in most states) Electors can deviate from the vote of the public and cast their ballots for someone other than their state’s popular vote victor, although this has rarely happened and never to the magnitude that would be necessary for Obama to be defeated. But it technically could happen. (more…)
Good Tuesday morning! It’s Election Day in the United States, and Americans of every race, gender, creed, and color will head to the polls today to make their voice heard. And in my eyes, the choice couldn’t be clearer.
Demographically, I fall right into President Obama’s lock. I am young, educated, and live in a liberal-leaning area in Northern Virginia. As such, I bear the larger burden of proof in making the case for why Mitt Romney has my vote. (more…)
Apparently, Vice President Joe Biden saw something I didn’t because last night’s vice-presidential debate wasn’t quite as entertaining as I expected. It was solid, and both Vice President Biden and Congressman Paul Ryan got their messages across to the American people. What struck me, however, was the manner in which those messages were delivered. (more…)
Politico reported earlier this afternoon that the Republican National Convention “quickly pulled down a draft copy of its 2012 platform” after “an apparent staff error led to its posting” on the RNC website.
I have to wonder, with all of the press this past week covering the dumb remarks made by Todd Akin (R-MO) and Mitt Romney’s jest “birther” comment, was the posting really an accident? Or was it the GOP’s way of finally shifting the news back to the Republican message?
If it was the latter, kudos to whomever’s brilliant idea it was. And if it was truly an accident, I suspect someone will fade quietly into the Tampa night.
By now, you’ve all heard the news: Romney-Ryan 2012! The Republican nominee for President (yes, I’ve dispensed with the “presumptive” tag), Mitt Romney, has selected Congressman Paul Ryan (R-Wisc.) as his running mate. His choice obviously departs from my prediction, but it’s a great choice.
I’m sure everyone knows a little bit about who Paul Ryan is, so I won’t detail his biography here. But I do want to hit a few high points for you—points I believe will are significant to the election. Rep. Paul Ryan is an energetic 42-year-old Catholic family man from Wisconsin. He is the always-controversial Chairman of the House Budget Committee and is about as conservative as they come. But what do these biographical points have to do with the election? Let’s review. (more…)
In an opinion piece out today on the New York Times website, Charles M. Blow discusses race and the role it plays in politics. Primarily, Blow argued that it is the racial divide in the two major political parties that drives their respective agendas. I strongly disagree with this premise, but I do agree with a few things Blow said and I want to give him credit for those. (more…)
We’ve heard so much gab in recent months about who Mitt Romney, the GOP’s all-but nominee for president, will or should choose as his running mate. Every name you can think of has been mentioned: Chris Christie, New Jersey’s loud-mouth yet lovable governor; Marco Rubio, Florida’s junior (and did I mention Hispanic?) U.S. Senator; and Paul Ryan, the ever-controversial chairman of the House Budget Committee. There has even been talk about names most have never heard: Bob McDonnell, the governor of Virginia, and Mitch Daniels, Indiana’s chief executive.
But now that the Veepstakes has entered its audition phase, the question everyone will be asking is: “Who will he choose?” Will it be Rubio or Ryan? Will it be Bachmann or Bobby (Jindal, that is)? But the question that appeals to me isn’t so much “who,” but rather “how?” And that’s what I’ll write about. (more…)
President Barack Obama has a history of “evolving” on the issue of gay marriage. In 2004, when running for the Illinois State Senate, he said “that marriage is between a man and a woman.” Now, six years later, he has done a complete one-eighty. On Wednesday, the president announced that he “affirm[s] that…same sex couples should be able to get married.” While each of us has the right to change our mind on issues, Mr. Obama will face a substantial political backlash in light of this particular flip-flop. (more…)
Well, it’s all but official now—it’s a two man race. Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum made a post-Easter exit from the campaign trail Tuesday to focus on being a more present parent to his three-year-old daughter, Bella, who has since birth been afflicted with chronic illness. His departure has mostly cleared the path to eleven-forty-four for Mitt Romney. Sure, a few sporadic votes will still be cast for Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul, but with them sitting at 136 and 51 delegates, respectively, there is no logical or mathematical way for either of the gentlemen to get to 1,144, aside from a brokered convention. I suppose it’s time for me to hop on the bandwagon and claim that Romney is now the eventual Republican nominee for President of the United States. But what does that mean for the Romney and Obama campaigns from here on out? (more…)
Several press account yesterday touted a new Washington Post-ABC News poll showing President Obama leading Mitt Romney 51-43 percent. The media used this poll to make cases for everything from Mr. Obama being more likable than Romney to being more in-tune to the needs of the middle class.
Conversely, the poll showed that Romney’s message resonated more so than the president’s and that people believed the former is more able to handle the economy and energy prices.
While I know the media love polls, and they are of great value to campaign strategies, and indeed polling keeps folks like Scott Rasmussen and my good friend John Couvillion employed, I have to question the legitimacy of this particular poll. I found something interestingly skewed in its methodology.
The poll, conducted April 5-8, had a margin of error of +/- 3.5% because of its sample size of 1,103 adults. This is a very common national sample size and resulting margin of error. However, this particular polled, in my opinion, did not gain an adequate sample of respondents from the two major political parties. The Post & ABC polled a sample of 34% Democrats to only 23% Republicans, when the actual voter registration number are roughly 36-32%, Democratic. This severe under-sampling of GOP voters drastically skews the numbers in favor of Mr. Obama.
The value of a skewed poll is nil and shouldn’t be given any credence; however, the media will not look at that if it doesn’t suit their story line. But now you, the well-informed, know the truth.